The Bank of Japan cut rates for the first time in seven years: 0.5% –> 0.3%, which is said to have disappointed the market and thus caused the sell-off in Tokyo (Nikkei 225: -5%; Topix-1: -3.6%). Not quite. The market had already opened lower and traded down throughout the entire session until the BoJ announcement. [...]
Archive | October, 2008
Nikkei recovery a little much?
6.4%, 7.7% and now 10%. Those are the percentage gains for the Nikkei 225 over the past three sessions. Thursday’s gain was the 4th largest ever. Tokyo rallied along with the rest of Asia, including a record setting 12% surge in South Korea. Headlines emphasize Central Bank rate cuts, expectation of a BoJ cut tomorrow [...]
Nikkei rally sustained by pension fund buying
Stocks surged early and held up nicely in Tokyo, that is, until the start of the afternoon session and profit-taking. However, word on the street is that around 2pm pension fund buying helped recover the earlier highs — in fact, producing the seventh largest percentage gain ever for the N225 (7.7%). *I had to remove [...]
More detail on impact of cross shareholdings in a bear market
See the clip below (re. cross shareholding) from an article discussing Japanese stocks at a 26-year low (as of Monday’s close) in yesterday’s Wall Street Journal. Earlier this week I discussed cross shareholdings in Poisonous cross shareholdings may be helpful in reaching a quicker bottom. clipped from online.wsj.com Japan’s banks, in particular, had seemed to [...]
Finally, a Nikkei bottom?
After four days of massive hemorrhaging (over 2,100 points lost), the Nikkei 225 bounced back in an afternoon session rally that gained momentum into the close. The N225 gained 6.4% (459 points) to close at 7,621. In early trading it wasn’t clear a positive close would happen — the N225 fell through 7,000 at one [...]
Singapore N225 futures open lower at 7,000
UPDATE: (Osaka open). December Nikkei 225 futures (Singapore) point to another move to the downside, although the decline is a more modest one (-130 points) than we’ve seen recently. N225 futures in Chicago shed 440 points to settle at 7,110, also the low of the day. Osaka futures settled at 7,160 yesterday, but in extended [...]
UPDATE: Poisonous cross shareholdings may be helpful in reaching a quicker bottom
Media reports and eventual confirmation (by Mitsubishi UFJ) of contemplation of raising capital among Japan’s mega banks warrants far more discussion. As stated earlier, the reasoning of MUFJ (JP: 8306) [[MTU]] is understandable (growth at almost any cost), but unacceptable for existing shareholders. For Mizuho (JP: 8411) [[MFG]] and Mitsui Sumitomo (JP: 8316), however, it [...]
Nikkei turns back the clock to 1982
By the end of the morning session’s dubious positive close, the Nikkei had already fallen through its post-bubble trough in early trading (compare valuations then and now), taking it to a level last reached 26-years ago (today’s close: 7,162.90). Media reports of mega banks needing to raise capital were finally taken seriously in the afternoon [...]
Japanese stocks hit 26-year low, but morning dubiously salvaged inspite of MUFJ report
It has been an interesting trading day thus far in Japan. Stocks have moved triple-digits up and down, including a 350 point surge from the day’s low, all to finish the morning session up a modest 30 points. During that time, the Nikkei 225 fell as low as 7,486, taking it to a 26-year low [...]
Singapore N225 futures open down at 7,480 … could’ve been worse
December Nikkei 225 futures trading in Singapore opened at 7,480, off a little more than 2%. That’s right about where the Osaka futures settled on Friday at 7,470. In Chicago, the close was a bit more optimistic at 7,550. At any rate, at these levels, if the benchmark N225 trades in-line, we’ll be at a [...]
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